The Effects of COVID‑19 on Agricultural Financing in Sub‑Saharan Africa: A Cross‑Country Analysis
Financial Management Program, Department of Business Administration, College of Business Administration, University of Hafr Al‑Batin, Hafr Al‑Batin 39524, Saudi Arabia
Financial Management Program, Department of Business Administration, College of Business Administration, University of Hafr Al‑Batin, Hafr Al‑Batin 39524, Saudi Arabia
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36956/rwae.v6i2.1812
Received: 6 March 2025 | Revised: 31 March 2025 | Accepted: 2 April 2025 | Published Online: 11 April 2025
Copyright © 2025 Abdulazeez Y.H Saif-Alyousfi, Turki Rashed Alshammari. Published by Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte. Ltd.
This is an open access article under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) License.
Abstract
This study examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural financing in Sub-Saharan Africa between 2019 and 2023, focusing on the long-term implications for the sector’s resilience and recovery. Using pooled ordinary least squares (OLS), two-stage least squares (2SLS) and generalized method of moments (GMM), the analysis reveals that the pandemic significantly disrupted agricultural financing, with smallholder farmers and women farmers facing the greatest challenges in accessing financial resources. The study emphasizes the pivotal role of digital financial services, such as mobile money platforms, in mitigating these effects, particularly in regions with underdeveloped traditional financial systems. Furthermore, the research highlights the importance of government policy responses, economic diversification, and sustainable financing models in fostering recovery. Regions with stronger financial infrastructures and diversified economies demonstrated greater resilience, while less diversified areas struggled to maintain agricultural financing. The study advocates for targeted policy interventions to improve financial inclusion and support the agricultural sector’s recovery. It also calls for the expansion of digital financial ecosystems, the development of inclusive financial products, and the integration of sustainable financing models to enhance the sector’s long-term resilience. These findings provide critical insights for policymakers, financial institutions, and development organizations seeking to strengthen agricultural financing and ensure a more sustainable future for the sector in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Keywords: COVID‑19; Agricultural Financing; Sub‑Saharan Africa; Digital Financial Services; Smallholder and Women Farmers; Economic Diversification; Sustainable Financing; Policy Intervention
References
[1] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y., 2025a. Energy shocks and stock market returns under COVID-19: New insights from the United States. Energy. 316, 134546.
[2] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y., 2025b. The impact of COVID-19 on foreign direct investment in Arab economies. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research. [ahead-of-print]
[3] Hamouche, S., Bani-Melhem, S., Demir, A., et al., 2024. Crisis-induced career shock and entrepreneurial intention among employees: What is the role of layoff, job insecurity and perceived employability during COVID-19?. The Bottom Line. [ahead-of-print]
[4] El Bilali, H., Ben Hassen, T., 2024. Regional agriculture and food systems amid the COVID-19 pandemic: The case of the near east and north Africa Region. Foods. 13(2), 297.
[5] Mutegi, J., Adolwa, I., Kiwia, A., et al., 2024. Agricultural production and food security implications of Covid-19 disruption on small-scale farmer households: lessons from Kenya. World Development. 173, 106405.
[6] Sharma, R., Shishodia, A., Kamble, S., et al., 2024. Agriculture supply chain risks and COVID-19: mitigation strategies and implications for the practitioners. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications. 27(11), 2351–2377.
[7] Uyanga, V.A., Bello, S.F., Bosco, N.J., et al., 2024. Status of agriculture and food security in post-COVID-19 Africa: Impacts and lessons learned. Food and Humanity. 2, 100206.
[8] Preusse, V., Silva, M.S., Steinhübel, L., et al., 2024. Covid‐19 and agricultural labor supply: Evidence from the rural–urban interface of an Indian mega‐city. Agribusiness. 40(2), 391–415.
[9] Akbar, A., Darma, R., Irawan, A., et al., 2024. COVID-19 pandemic and food security: Strategic agricultural budget allocation in Indonesia. Journal of Agriculture and Food Research. 18, 101494.
[10] Dzinamarira, T., Iradukunda, P.G., Saramba, E., et al., 2024. COVID-19 and mental health services in Sub-Saharan Africa: A critical literature review. Comprehensive Psychiatry. 131, 152465.
[11] Woode, J.K., Idun, A.A.A., Kawor, S., 2024. Comovement between agricultural commodities and stock returns of commodity-dependant sub-saharan Africa countries amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. Scientific African. 23, e01972.
[12] Nkansah-Dwamena, E., 2024. Why small-scale circular agriculture is central to food security and environmental sustainability in Sub-Saharan Africa? The case of Ghana. Circular Economy and Sustainability. 4(2), 995–1019.
[13] Onyeaka, H., Nwauzoma, U.M., Akinsemolu, A.A., et al., 2024. The ripple effects of climate change on agricultural sustainability and food security in Africa. Food and Energy Security. 13(5), e567.
[14] World Bank, 2020. Agriculture and rural development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Report No. 147852, 15 June 2020
[15] Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), 2021. COVID-19 and rural poverty: Supporting agricultural systems in Sub-Saharan Africa. Report No. 2021/42, 12 March 2021.
[16] Agyei, S.K., Isshaq, Z., Frimpong, S., et al., 2021. COVID‐19 and food prices in sub‐Saharan Africa. African Development Review. 33, S102–S113.
[17] Ayanlade, A., Radeny, M., 2020. COVID-19 and food security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Implications of lockdown during agricultural planting seasons. npj Science of Food. 4 (1), 1–6.
[18] Teachout, M., Zipfel, C., 2020. The economic impact of COVID-19 lockdowns in sub-Saharan Africa. International Growth Centre. 1(1), 1–16.
[19] Koloma, Y., Kemeze, F.H., 2022. COVID‐19 and perceived effects on agricultural financing in Africa: Evidence and policy implications. African Development Review. 34, S63–S79.
[20] Amankwah, A., Gourlay, S., 2022. Impact of COVID-19 Crisis on Agriculture: Evidence from Five Sub-Saharan African Countries. Report No. 304561, 18 January 2022. Available from: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/304561611294945287/Impact-of-COVID-19-Crisis-on-Agriculture-Evidence-from-Five-Sub-Saharan-African-Countries
[21] Balgah, R.A., Benjamin, E.O., Kimengsi, J.N., et al., 2023. COVID-19 impact on agriculture and food security in Africa. A systematic review and meta-analysis. World Development Perspectives. 31, 100523.
[22] Bisong, A., Ahairwe, P.E., Njoroge, E., 2020. The impact of COVID-19 on remittances for development in Africa. Maastricht: European Centre for Development Policy Management.
[23] Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP), 2020. Digital finance and inclusion in the time of COVID-19. Discussion Paper No. 269, 05 November 2020.
[24] Miller, M., Bastagli, F., Hart, T., et al., 2020. Financing the coronavirus response in sub-Saharan Africa. 14 April 2020.
[25] Nan, W., Park, M., 2022. Improving the resilience of SMEs in times of crisis: The impact of mobile money amid Covid‐19 in Zambia. Journal of International Development. 34(4), 697–714.
[26] Sridhar, A., Balakrishnan, A., Jacob, M.M., et al., 2023. Global impact of COVID-19 on agriculture: Role of sustainable agriculture and digital farming. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 30(15), 42509–42525.
[27] African Development Bank (AfDB), 2021. Feed Africa Response to COVID-19 (FAREC): Stabilizing Food Systems in Africa. 7 July 2020.
[28] Danquah, M., Schotte, S., 2020. COVID-19 and the socioeconomic impact in Africa. United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research: Helsinki, Finland.
[29] Shkodra, J., Bajrami, V., 2022. Impact of COVID-19 on the finance sources of women in the agricultural sector: The case of Kosovo. Cogent Economics & Finance. 10(1), 2085294.
[30] Beck, T., Levine, R., 2004. Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance. 28(3), 423–442.
[31] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y., 2023. The impact of COVID-19 on exchange rate in Arab economies. International Research Journal of Economics and Management Studies IRJEMS. 2(4), 338-344.
[32] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y., 2024. COVID-19 and SMEs deposits with commercial banks: Evidence from African economies. Financial Economics Letters. 2(3), 37–50.
[33] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y., Saha, A., 2021. The impact of COVID-19 and non-pharmaceutical interventions on energy returns worldwide. Sustainable Cities and Society. 70, 102943.
[34] Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y.H., 2022. The impact of COVID-19 and the stringency of government policy responses on stock market returns worldwide. Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies. 15(1), 87–105.
[35] Crockett, A., Cohen, B.H., 2001. Financial markets and systemic risk in an era of innovation. International Finance. 4(1), 127–144.
[36] Pazarbasioglu, C., Mora, A.G., Uttamchandani, M., et al., 2020. Digital financial services. World Bank. 54, 1–54.
[37] King, R.G., Levine, R., 1993. Finance, entrepreneurship, and growth: Theory and evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics. 32(3), 513–542.
[38] Matin, I., Hulme, D., Rutherford, S., 2002. Finance for the poor: from microcredit to microfinancial services. Journal of international development. 14(2), 273–294.
[39] Ma, Y., Song, K., 2018. Financial development and macroeconomic volatility. Bulletin of Economic Research. 70(3), 205–225.
[40] Bogdański, M., 2021. Employment diversification as a determinant of economic resilience and sustainability in provincial cities. Sustainability. 13(9), 4861.
[41] Barrett, C.B., Reardon, T., Swinnen, J., et al., 2022. Agri-food value chain revolutions in low-and middle-income countries. Journal of Economic Literature. 60(4), 1316–1377.
[42] World Bank, 2021. COVID-19 and Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Building Resilient food systems. Report No. 36248, 22 September 2021. Available from: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/36248
[43] International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), 2020. Rural Development Report 2020: Transforming Food Systems for Rural Prosperity. Report No. RDR2020, 09 December 2020. Available from: https://www.ifad.org/en/rural-development-report
[44] Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), 2021. The Impact of COVID-19 on Food Security and Nutrition. FAO: Rome, Italy. Available from: https://openknowledge.fao.org/items/efd29e45-4004-4ec0-baad-eb9ea69278eb
[45] Citaristi, I., 2022. International fund for agricultural development—IFAD. In: Europa Publications. (ed.). The Europa Directory of International Organizations 2022, 24th ed. Routledge: London, UK. pp. 340–343.
[46] Doss, C., Meinzen-Dick, R., Quisumbing, A., et al., 2018. Women in agriculture: Four myths. Global Food Security. 16, 69–74.
[47] Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), 2019. The Status of Women in Agrifood Systems. FAO: Rome, Italy. Available from: https://www.fao.org/publications
[48] United Nations Women (UN Women), 2020. The Impact of COVID-19 on Women. Report No. UNW/2020/02, 09 April 2020. Available from: https://www.unwomen.org/en/digital-library/publications/2020/04/policy-brief-the-impact-of-covid-19-on-women
[49] World Bank, 2021. Gender Dimensions of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Report No. 156789, 8 March 2021. Available from: https://hdl.handle.net/10986/35268
[50] Alsaad, M., Khatatbeh, I.N., Saif-Alyousfi, A.Y.H., 2025. Institutional ownership and commonality in liquidity: the case of Amman Stock Exchange, Jordan. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research. [ahead-of-print]. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-04-2024-0138
[51] Baker, S.R., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., et al., 2020. COVID-induced economic uncertainty. NBER Working Paper No. 26983, 13 April 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w26983
[52] Gourinchas, P.-O., Kalemli-Özcan, Ṣ., Penciakova, V., et al., 2021. COVID-19 and SME failures. NBER Working Paper No. 27877, 15 January 2021. Available from: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27877/w27877.pdf
[53] Levine, R., 2005. Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. In: Aghion, P., Durlauf, S.N. (eds.). Handbook of Economic Growth. Elsevier: Amsterdam, Netherlands. pp. 865–934. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01012-9
[54] Bank for International Settlements (BIS), 2021. Annual Economic Report: COVID-19, Cash, and the Future of Payments. Report No. 2021/3, 23 June 2021. Available from: https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2021e3.htm
[55] Suri, T., Jack, W., 2016. The long-run poverty and gender impacts of mobile money. Science. 354(6317), 1288–1292. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aah5309
[56] International Monetary Fund, 2022. World Economic Outlook: War Sets Back the Global Recovery. Report No. WEO/2022/001, 19 April 2022.