The Impact of Energy Consumption on Agriculture Production in Pakistan
Faiz Ur Rahim
International Institute of Islamic Economics (IIIE), International Islamic University Islamabad, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
Saima Rubab
International Institute of Islamic Economics (IIIE), International Islamic University Islamabad, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
Department of Economics, University of Wah, Wah 47040, Pakistan
Madiha Asma
International Institute of Islamic Economics (IIIE), International Islamic University Islamabad, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
Department of Agricultural Sciences, Paul Engler College of Agriculture & Natural Sciences, WTAMU, Canyon, TX 79016, USA
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36956/rwae.v6i2.1459
Copyright © 2025 Faiz Ur Rahim, Saima Rubab, Sania Shaheen, Madiha Asma, Lal K. Almas. Published by Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte. Ltd.
This is an open access article under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) License.
Abstract
Energy is the key element for economic development as it offers major services for continuing the economic activity, and thus, improves the human life. However, the empirical evidence regarding the influence of energy consumption on agricultural production in the context of developing economies is limited in the current empirical literature. Therefore, this research fulfills this gap by empirically investigating the impact of energy consumption on agriculture Production for Pakistan by collecting time series data based on annual observation from (1980-2020). For estimation purpose, this study employed the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag approach to analyze the existence of long-term connection between energy consumption and agriculture production. The study findings show that the long-term co-integration relationship exist between energy consumption of electricity, oil, and agricultural production. The energy consumption of electricity and oil has a significant and direct impact on agricultural production. Based on empirical results, this study recommends policy makers, Pakistan government to design policies regarding the availability of cheaper electricity to small farmers in the rural areas. For this purpose, advance techniques are needed. Therefore, government should allocate more funds for the innovations in the energy sector.
Keywords: Energy consumption, Agricultural Production, Energy consumption of oil and electricity, Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach.
Keywords: Energy Consumption; Agricultural Production; Energy Consumption of Oil and Electricity; Autoregres‑ sive Distributed Lag Approach
References
[1] Mahmood, T., Kanwal, F., 2017. Long Run Relationship between Energy Ef-ficiency and Economic Growth in Pakistan: Time Series Data Analysis. Forman Journal of Economic Studies. 13(2017), 105–120.
[2] Onoja, A.O., Idoko, O., 2012. Econometric analysis of factors influencing fuel wood demand in rural and peri-urban farm households of Kogi state. Consilience. 8(1), 115–127.
[3] Abebaw, D., 2007. Household determinants of fuelwood choice in urban Ethopia: A case study of Jimma Town. The Journal of Developing Areas. 41(1), 117–126.
[4] Spalding-Fecher, R., Winkler, H., Mwakasonda, S., 2005. Energy and the World Summit on Sustainable Development: what next? Energy policy. 33(1), 99–112.
[5] Asif, M., 2012. Energy Crisis in Pakistan: Origins, Challenges, and Sustainable Solutions. OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK.
[6] Ali, A., Imtiaz, M., 2019. . Effects of Pakistan's energy crisis on farm households. Utilities Policy. 59, 100930.
[7] GOP, 2010. Pakistan Economic Survey (2010-11), https://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapter_11/highlights.pdf (accessed 20 March 2025)
[8] Po-Chi, C.H.E.N., Ming-Miin, Y.U., Chang, C.C., et al., 2008. Total factor productivity growth in China's agricultural sector. China Economic Review. 19(4), 580–593.
[9] Mohammadi, A., Tabatabaeefar, A., Shahin, S., et al., 2008. Energy use and economic analysis of potato production in Iran a case study: Ardabil province. Energy Conversion and Management. 49(12), 3566–3570.
[10] Ahmed, V., Zeshan, M., 2014. Decomposing change in energy consumption of the agricultural sector in Pakistan. Agrarian South: Journal of Political Economy. 3(1), 369–402.
[11] Akbar, M., Noor, F., Ahmad, I., et al., 2018. Impact of Energy Consumption and CO2 emissions on food Production in Pakistan in Pakistan: An Econometric Analysis. Pakistan Journal of Agricultural Sciences. 55(2), 455–461.
[12] Fei, R., Lin, B., 2016. Energy efficiency and production technology heter-ogeneity in China's agricultural sector: A Meta-Frontier Approach. Technolog-ical Forecasting & Social change. 109, 25–34.
[13] Yang, Y., Bremner, S., Menictas, C., et al., 2018. Battery energy storage system size determination in renewable energy systems: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 91(2018), 109–125.
[14] Abbasian, E., Souri, A., 2019. The inefficiency of energy pricing policy: the case of Iran. International Journal of Environmental Research. 13(6), 943–950.
[15] Murshed, M., Mahmood, H., Alkhateeb, T.T.Y., et al., 2020. The im-pacts of energy consumption, energy prices and energy import-dependency on gross and sectoral value-added in Sri Lanka. Energies. 13(24), 1–22.
[16] Rizvi, F.F., Umair, M., Jamil, M.K., et al., 2020. Review of energy consumption and potential of renewable energy in agriculture sector: a case study of Pothohar region of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Agricultural Research. 33(2), 280–288.
[17] Zafeiriou, E., Mallidis, I., Galanopoulos, K., et al., 2018. Greenhouse gas emissions and economic performance in EU Agriculture: An empirical study in a non-linear framework. Sustainability. 10(11), 3837.
[18] Ntanos, S., Skordoulis, M., Kyriakopoulos, G., et al., 2018. Renewable energy and economic growth: Evidence from European countries. Sustainability. 10(8), 2626.
[19] Almas, L.K., Usman, M., 2021. Determinants of Wheat Consumption, Irrigated Agriculture, and Food Security Challenges in Egypt. WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development. 17(67), 696–712.
[20] Bruno, M., & Sachs, J. (1982). Energy and resource allocation: a dynamic model of the “Dutch Disease”. The Review of Economic Studies, 49(5), 845-859.
[21] Berndt, E. R., & Wood, D. O. (1975). Technology, prices, and the derived demand for energy. The review of Economics and Statistics, 259-268.
[22] Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., Smith, R.J., 2001. Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 16, 289–326.
[23] Usman, M., Hameed, G., Saboor, A., et al., 2021. Research and Development Spillover, Irrigation Water Use and Agricultural Production in Pakistan. WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development. 17(2021), 840–858.
[24] Chandio, A.A., Jiang, Y., Rehman, A., 2018. Energy consumption and agri-cultural economic growth in Pakistan: is there a nexus? International Journal of Energy Sector Management. 13(3), 597–609.
[25] Li, L., Tan, Z., Wang, J., et al., 2011. Energy conservation and emission reduction policies for the electric power industry in Chi-na. Energy Policy. 39(6), 3669–3679.
[26] Koondhar, M.A., Qiu, L., et al., 2018. A nexus between air pollution, energy con-sumption and growth of economy: a comparative study between the USA and China-based on the ARDL bound testing approach. Agricultural Economics. 64(6), 265–276.
[27] Murtaza, G., Faridi, M.Z., 2015. Causality linkages among energy poverty, income inequality, income poverty and growth: a system dynamic modelling approach. The Pakistan Development Review. 53(4), 407–425.
[28] Rehman, A., Ma, H., Ozturk, I., et al., 2021. An-other outlook to sector-level energy consumption in Pakistan from dominant energy sources and correlation with economic growth. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 28(26), 33735–33750.
[29] Jin, L., Duan, K., Tang, X., 2018. What is the relationship between techno-logical innovation and energy consumption? Empirical analysis based on pro-vincial panel data from China. Sustainability. 10(1), 145.
[30] Chandio, A.A., Jiang, Y., Rehman, A., 2019. Using the ARDL-ECM ap-proach to investigate the nexus between support price and wheat production: Empirical evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies (JBES). 26(1), 139–152.
[31] Ma, N., Li, H., Wang, Y., et al., 2020. The short-term roles of sectors during a carbon tax on Chinese economy based on complex network: An in-process analysis. Journal of Cleaner Production. 251, 119560.